You might want to note that this is not a place where you are likely to get anyone to volunteer to talk you out of a scrapbooking purchase. Just saying...
When I started scrapping I just don't think they had as much in the way of expensive investment sort of items. I don't even remember the basic die cutting machines being advertised much. I bought papers and stickers mostly. Yes, I bought things I didn't need... but sometimes find myself even now finding a perfect use for something I bought years ago.
After years of debating it, I finally invested in a die cut machine, the Silhouette SD (the previous version), and like and use it a lot.
I agree with mrsdriver5 I think that if you think you will enjoy it and use it and have the money to spare, you probably can't go wrong.